Mathys Erhard vs Kirill Kivattsev Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the last six months, Erhard has secured 41.26% of points on his second serve, whereas Kivattsev has managed to win 47.88%. Could this suggest Kivattsev has an edge in second serve scenarios? Yes, as the correlation between this stat and match outcomes is significant.
• Regarding return games, Erhard has outperformed Kivattsev by winning 51.64% of opponents' second serve points compared to Kivattsev's 45.8%. Erhard also leads in first serve returns with 29.41% over Kivattsev's 25.6%.
• Under pressure, both players show resilience, with Erhard saving 53.47% of breakpoints and Kivattsev slightly better at 56.34%. This suggests both can handle crucial points well.
• Over the past year, Erhard has a slightly higher match-winning percentage of 65.22% compared to Kivattsev's 61.33%, indicating a minor historical advantage for Erhard in overall performance.
• Surface preferences reveal Erhard excels on Clay with a career win rate of 65%, while Kivattsev finds greatest success on Grass with a 75% win rate. Neither player shows strong preference for Hard courts, Kivattsev at 53% and Erhard at just 32%.
• In terms of competition level, Erhard has competed mainly in Challengers/ITF > $10K events, winning 51.43%, whereas Kivattsev has played more Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K, with a higher win rate of 65.15%.
• When considering opponent quality, Erhard has faced tougher competition on average, with opponents ranked 356.14 compared to Kivattsev's 443.16, suggesting Erhard may be more battle-hardened.
• In deciding set scenarios, Erhard has a winning rate of 50% over the past year, slightly better than Kivattsev's 42%, indicating a potential edge in critical moments.
• Converting break points is crucial, with Erhard converting 35.33% of opportunities and Kivattsev 30.17%, giving Erhard an edge in capitalizing on critical chances.

Editorial Prediction (August 29, 2025, UTC):

As we examine their recent performances, key stats like second serve efficiency and breakpoint conversion highlight noticeable advantages for Kivattsev and Erhard, respectively. Although Kivattsev has shown stronger performance on the second serve, Erhard's superior breakpoint conversion could prove decisive.

Additionally, Erhard's slightly stronger performance in return games and handling decisive sets gives him a notable edge. Kivattsev's recent success is somewhat tempered by the level of competition and surface preferences.

Considering these factors and their competition history, Erhard appears to hold a favorable position in this matchup, likely giving him the advantage to come out victorious in the upcoming match.